Betting Lines
| Spread | NEB -29.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEB +23 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | NEB -31.5 (-8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.2 (-15.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEB -26.1 (-3.1) | 149.5 (-16.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEB -24.5 (-1.5) | 144.1 (-11.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEB -28.3 (-5.3) | 144.7 (-11.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEB -27.9 (-4.9) | 148.8 (-15.8) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2023 | NEB 83 – 75 UND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | UND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 10-6 |
| Home | 16-2 | 9-7 |
| Away | 7-3 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.1 | 79.6 |
| Massey | 16.3 (#26) | -11.0 (#321) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.88 (#5) | -1.65 (#303) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.73 (#7) | -2.48 (#311) |
| RPI | 0.695 (#2) | 0.415 (#311) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | UND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.5% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 28.4% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.92 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.6% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 13.9% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 56.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.0% | 32.7% |
Game Analysis
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