Betting Lines
| Spread | BC -16.0 Push |
| O/U | 149.0 Over |
| Money | BC -1600 LEH +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BC +16 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | BC -16.8 (-0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.0 (+1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BC -13.8 (+2.2) | 152.4 (+1.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BC -17.6 (-1.6) | 152.6 (+1.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BC -17.9 (-1.9) | 151.2 (+2.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BC -17.5 (-1.5) | 154.2 (-0.2) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BC | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-16 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-6 | 6-7 |
| Away | 7-7 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 72.5 |
| Massey | 6.4 (#82) | -5.8 (#276) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.10 (#88) | -4.17 (#362) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.49 (#85) | -5.57 (#361) |
| RPI | 0.568 (#75) | 0.364 (#352) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BC | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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