Betting Lines
| Spread | HARV -14.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Over |
| Money | HARV -1100 HC +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HARV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HARV +2 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | HARV -23.6 (-21.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.0 (+1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HARV -18.2 (-16.2) | 143.0 (+3.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HARV -17.3 (-15.3) | 144.1 (+1.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HARV -16.3 (-14.3) | 144.6 (+1.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HARV -17.9 (-15.9) | 143.8 (+2.2) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2025 | HARV 81 – 53 HC |
| Dec 4, 2024 | HC 68 – 67 HARV |
| Dec 1, 2022 | HARV 72 – 38 HC |
| Dec 19, 2021 | HARV 62 – 54 HC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HARV | HC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-13 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 6-12 |
| Home | 9-5 | 5-8 |
| Away | 5-7 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 65.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 75.1 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#136) | -16.8 (#357) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.41 (#67) | -2.51 (#335) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.40 (#93) | -3.82 (#344) |
| RPI | 0.579 (#60) | 0.382 (#343) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HARV | HC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 15.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 13.0% |
| DRB% | 64.7% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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