Betting Lines
| Spread | HARV -17.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Under |
| Money | HARV -1800 HC +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HARV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HARV +8 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | HARV -22.4 (-14.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.8 (-28.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HARV -16.0 (-8.0) | 142.8 (-26.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HARV -15.5 (-7.5) | 145.9 (-29.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HARV -17.9 (-9.9) | 145.1 (-29.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HARV -16.5 (-8.5) | 144.4 (-28.4) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2025 | HARV 81 – 53 HC |
| Dec 4, 2024 | HC 68 – 67 HARV |
| Dec 21, 2023 | HARV 74 – 72 HC |
| Dec 1, 2022 | HARV 72 – 38 HC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HARV | HC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-13 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 9-6 | 5-9 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L3 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#146) | -16.4 (#354) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.41 (#218) | -4.04 (#352) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#209) | -5.51 (#352) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#188) | 0.316 (#354) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HARV | HC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 44.6% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 22.8% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 16.0% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 57.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.6% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.2% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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