Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 177.5 Under |
| Money | ARIZ -350 ALA +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +13 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -7.7 (+5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 176.4 (-15.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -4.5 (+8.5) | 166.4 (-5.4) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -8.3 (+4.7) | 168.6 (-7.6) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -7.9 (+5.1) | 172.3 (-11.3) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -7.6 (+5.4) | 172.8 (-11.8) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2025 | ARIZ 96 – 75 ALA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 25-12 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 13-5 |
| Home | 15-1 | 14-2 |
| Away | 7-4 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 6-5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 87.1 | 90.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 81.2 |
| Massey | 25.7 (#1) | 18.0 (#7) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.26 (#13) | 1.69 (#55) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.73 (#10) | 2.57 (#48) |
| RPI | 0.655 (#9) | 0.621 (#24) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.5% | 49.0% |
| 3PT% | 38.9% | 39.1% |
| REB / G | 43.9 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.73 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.8% | 57.7% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 37.2% | 37.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 31.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 81.4% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.8% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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