Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -22.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Under |
| Money | TENN -4000 TAR +1450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +19 | 111 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -21.5 (-2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.2 (-28.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -18.2 (+0.8) | 138.7 (-27.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -17.2 (+1.8) | 140.0 (-29.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -18.5 (+0.5) | 140.3 (-29.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -17.8 (+1.2) | 139.9 (-28.9) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 16-4 |
| Home | 14-2 | 13-4 |
| Away | 8-3 | 10-5 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 14.9 (#12) | -2.0 (#201) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.00 (#16) | 0.50 (#138) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.36 (#13) | 0.48 (#151) |
| RPI | 0.650 (#12) | 0.500 (#173) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.52 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.4% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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