Betting Lines
| Spread | SJU -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | SJU -220 XAV +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJU +15 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | SJU -4.3 (+10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.9 (-3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SJU -4.8 (+10.2) | 150.0 (-3.0) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SJU -4.9 (+10.1) | 146.7 (+0.3) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SJU -4.7 (+10.3) | 147.2 (-0.2) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SJU -5.4 (+9.6) | 147.2 (-0.2) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 9, 2026 | SJU 87 – 82 XAV |
| Jan 24, 2026 | SJU 88 – 83 XAV |
| Jan 23, 2025 | SJU 79 – 71 XAV |
| Jan 7, 2025 | SJU 82 – 72 XAV |
| Jan 31, 2024 | XAV 88 – 77 SJU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJU | XAV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 9-11 |
| Home | 11-4 | 11-7 |
| Away | 6-7 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 74.6 |
| Massey | 8.8 (#53) | 9.1 (#52) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.99 (#95) | 0.54 (#136) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.27 (#103) | 1.36 (#95) |
| RPI | 0.555 (#94) | 0.557 (#91) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJU | XAV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 42.1 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 17.6 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 44.2% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 16.2% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 44.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.