Betting Lines
| Spread | NCSU -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | NCSU -650 SLU +460 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCSU +12 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | NCSU -15.9 (-3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.6 (-4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCSU -12.6 (-0.6) | 151.2 (+0.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCSU -13.9 (-1.9) | 151.9 (+0.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NCSU -14.8 (-2.8) | 152.1 (-0.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCSU -14.8 (-2.8) | 152.9 (-0.9) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2020 | SLU 80 – 69 NCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NCSU | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-15 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 5-13 |
| Home | 12-5 | 8-8 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 10-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 79.8 |
| Massey | 7.7 (#69) | -3.6 (#238) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.88 (#48) | 0.63 (#129) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.69 (#42) | 0.41 (#156) |
| RPI | 0.571 (#70) | 0.543 (#111) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NCSU | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 38.3% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 13.8% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 23.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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