Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | SLU -210 NCSU +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +11 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -4.9 (+6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.9 (-3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -4.9 (+6.1) | 146.8 (+2.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -5.9 (+5.1) | 148.7 (+0.3) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -6.8 (+4.2) | 149.9 (-0.9) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -7.7 (+3.3) | 150.1 (-1.1) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2023 | NCSU 82 – 70 SLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-7 | 14-11 |
| Conference | 6-4 | 9-8 |
| Home | 12-1 | 7-4 |
| Away | 1-4 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.4 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 17.3 (#6) | 17.5 (#5) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.91 (#49) | 1.51 (#65) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.64 (#58) | 2.62 (#59) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#110) | 0.485 (#167) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 54.2% | 53.1% |
| 3PT% | 45.0% | 45.6% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.86 | 1.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 61.5% | 61.1% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 13.6% |
| ORB% | 36.7% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.8% | 32.8% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.0% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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