I'm so tired of being lonely, I still have some love to give. "Handle With Care" - The Travelling WIlburys
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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42–21 on winners spread MAE 9.0 63 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Tulane @ SMU +10.8 154.5 83% 76–80 ✓
Longwood @ High Point +6.1 147.2 75% 76–93 ✓
Stony Brook @ Hofstra +4.9 143.7 72% 71–72 ✓
Northeastern @ Towson +7.7 133.0 79% 76–83 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Charleston +2.9 155.3 62% 80–74 ✗
Hampton @ North Carolina A&T +5.8 150.0 69% 58–59 ✓
Drexel @ Monmouth -1.8 138.0 41% 62–67 ✗
Delaware @ William & Mary -6.4 140.7 29% 81–53 ✓
Campbell @ Elon +2.4 140.8 56% 69–67 ✗
Long Island University @ Fairleigh Dickinson +6.0 150.5 78% 75–82 ✓
Le Moyne @ Wagner +1.6 132.4 53% 57–80 ✓
Stonehill @ Sacred Heart +9.8 142.1 85% 72–77 ✓
Saint Francis @ Central Connecticut +11.3 138.1 87% 62–63 ✓
Robert Morris @ Oakland +9.9 150.4 84% 72–87 ✓
Milwaukee @ Purdue Fort Wayne +7.2 158.8 79% 68–65 ✗
Cleveland State @ Detroit Mercy -11.0 149.0 15% 77–65 ✓
Old Dominion @ Marshall +5.2 149.2 71% 83–76 ✗
Troy @ Georgia Southern -6.2 149.9 27% 84–63 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ James Madison +18.2 152.8 90% 67–105 ✓
App State @ Georgia State -6.8 144.7 25% 81–71 ✓
UMBC @ Bryant +12.1 155.5 86% 95–99 ✓
UAlbany @ Vermont +10.8 145.9 84% 59–81 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Florida International -9.2 142.7 17% 93–53 ✓
Bellarmine @ Kennesaw State +6.4 148.3 71% 96–95 ✗
Utah Valley @ Stephen F. Austin +5.0 141.5 74% 72–77 ✓
Morehead State @ Tennessee State -2.6 136.6 35% 68–49 ✓
South Alabama @ Texas State +2.2 140.0 62% 66–74 ✓
St. Thomas-Minnesota @ Omaha -0.4 138.1 44% 65–69 ✗
North Dakota @ South Dakota -1.0 151.8 44% 95–81 ✓
North Dakota State @ South Dakota State +7.7 154.1 77% 74–73 ✗
Denver @ Kansas City +0.0 159.2 53% 71–85 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Queens University -2.7 157.5 39% 76–94 ✗
Tarleton State @ Abilene Christian +0.1 142.1 50% 76–73 ✗
Weber State @ Northern Arizona -6.1 141.1 22% 72–70 ✓
Idaho State @ Northern Colorado +7.2 148.8 77% 86–91 ✓
Wisconsin @ Nebraska -1.5 147.6 48% 72–80 ✗
California @ Arizona +18.1 158.6 90% 65–91 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Tennessee Tech +2.5 135.0 55% 74–71 ✗
Little Rock @ SIU Edwardsville +4.6 142.3 62% 66–68 ✓
Western Illinois @ Lindenwood -5.4 130.2 25% 79–71 ✓
UT Martin @ Eastern Illinois -0.5 143.8 44% 76–59 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Central Arkansas -2.9 147.2 39% 82–59 ✓
UT Arlington @ Southern Utah +1.2 151.8 59% 76–68 ✗
Stetson @ North Alabama -0.0 150.8 54% 72–79 ✗
Stanford @ Arizona State +1.3 146.7 59% 71–62 ✗
Youngstown State @ Wright State -1.1 159.5 36% 88–77 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Utah Tech +4.9 148.0 64% 64–81 ✓
Seattle U @ Grand Canyon +9.1 141.9 83% 88–95 ✓
Sam Houston @ Western Kentucky +4.1 148.7 65% 79–77 ✗
Liberty @ New Mexico State -5.5 136.9 32% 73–79 ✗
Jacksonville State @ UTEP +0.4 131.7 49% 71–79 ✓
Idaho @ Montana +13.3 140.1 88% 70–73 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Montana State -2.6 151.3 39% 60–70 ✗
Portland @ Pacific -2.2 147.8 33% 65–60 ✓
UC Irvine @ Cal Poly -14.8 130.7 13% 73–59 ✓
Long Beach State @ Cal State Bakersfield -0.5 142.3 47% 76–82 ✗
Cal State Northridge @ UC San Diego +11.0 145.0 86% 62–83 ✓
Hawai'i @ Cal State Fullerton +1.2 129.9 53% 76–68 ✗
Oregon @ USC -0.1 145.8 54% 78–69 ✓
Oregon State @ UCLA +3.9 133.4 70% 63–71 ✓
San Diego @ San Francisco +15.5 148.0 88% 79–95 ✓
UC Davis @ UC Santa Barbara +4.1 143.9 71% 79–69 ✗
Kent State @ Buffalo -9.3 144.3 17% 83–52 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.