The name is Big Daddy, yes big not little. "Ain't No Half Steppin'" - Big Daddy Kane
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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42–19 on winners spread MAE 11.3 62 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
South Carolina State @ Kentucky +23.2 153.6 90% 63–106 ✓
Merrimack @ Troy +7.1 147.4 77% 54–73 ✓
Wichita State @ Richmond +12.9 137.8 81% 56–53 ✗
Marshall @ Miami (OH) -1.5 154.6 51% 95–69 ✓
Bryant @ Florida Atlantic +4.5 150.2 70% 74–85 ✓
Towson @ UNC Greensboro -5.1 139.0 33% 56–53 ✓
North Dakota State @ Indiana State +18.7 150.6 87% 75–101 ✓
Stony Brook @ Brown +10.1 137.4 82% 53–64 ✓
Austin Peay @ South Florida +11.0 129.4 82% 62–60 ✗
UAlbany @ Saint Joseph's +3.8 136.5 69% 79–99 ✓
Boise State @ Charlotte +5.9 131.6 76% 42–54 ✓
Davidson @ Charleston +4.0 166.7 71% 66–89 ✓
Pittsburgh @ VCU +7.8 133.9 77% 67–71 ✓
Little Rock @ East Tennessee State +14.8 151.4 88% 76–84 ✓
Norfolk State @ Monmouth -4.0 145.0 32% 64–59 ✓
Hartford @ Boston University +11.8 137.2 82% 66–102 ✓
UL Monroe @ TCU +9.7 136.7 83% 60–95 ✓
Samford @ Alabama A&M — — — 84–64 —
Louisiana Tech @ Louisiana +14.1 139.8 82% 88–94 ✓
Tennessee State @ Southern Illinois +11.4 137.7 83% 44–57 ✓
Northwestern State @ Illinois State +8.7 133.1 79% 70–67 ✗
North Dakota @ Elon +5.7 145.3 70% 77–73 ✗
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +17.2 138.8 88% 75–97 ✓
Texas State @ UTSA +4.7 139.3 59% 56–61 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ LSU +17.1 137.9 88% 62–91 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Georgia Tech +8.7 127.4 79% 50–68 ✓
UC Riverside @ Creighton +16.6 151.4 85% 51–80 ✓
Coppin State @ Tennessee Tech -0.7 146.4 34% 90–85 ✓
Long Island University @ Marquette +23.0 147.4 90% 58–95 ✓
Utah Tech @ Arizona +21.4 160.4 89% 77–104 ✓
Portland @ Air Force -3.4 145.3 37% 64–51 ✓
Sam Houston @ Utah +18.2 131.9 85% 65–55 ✗
Central Michigan @ Minnesota +3.5 138.9 60% 60–68 ✓
South Dakota @ Mississippi State +27.1 137.8 90% 42–79 ✓
Michigan @ Arizona State -2.6 142.5 39% 62–87 ✗
St. Thomas @ Montana -13.9 138.7 13% 59–78 ✗
Loyola Chicago @ Tulsa -1.1 150.1 43% 66–85 ✗
Hofstra @ San José State +0.9 136.3 50% 85–76 ✗
Utah State @ San Diego -1.0 148.3 46% 91–89 ✓
California Baptist @ Washington +11.8 131.6 73% 73–64 ✗
Rider @ Stetson +3.6 136.7 60% 68–78 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Niagara +0.5 133.1 39% 64–73 ✓
Queens University @ Green Bay -3.7 133.5 36% 81–65 ✓
Colorado @ Texas A&M -1.8 147.3 46% 103–75 ✓
Penn State @ Virginia Tech -0.6 147.0 47% 59–61 ✗
Buffalo @ Drake +8.1 148.9 80% 72–80 ✓
Lafayette @ UMBC -5.4 138.4 25% 63–71 ✗
La Salle @ Wake Forest +0.7 142.2 51% 63–75 ✓
Massachusetts @ Murray State -1.5 145.1 40% 71–69 ✓
Furman @ Old Dominion -2.1 146.5 45% 77–82 ✗
Lamar @ Lindenwood -2.4 130.4 25% 73–71 ✓
Howard @ Wyoming +1.0 147.4 54% 71–78 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Kennesaw State -2.2 150.5 42% 68–72 ✗
Loyola Marymount @ Georgetown +2.6 156.3 61% 84–66 ✗
Colorado State @ Charleston +0.5 155.8 47% 64–74 ✓
VMI @ Longwood +4.7 134.1 69% 58–90 ✓
Temple @ Rutgers +16.8 135.0 87% 72–66 ✗
Western Carolina @ McNeese +4.6 131.3 68% 88–69 ✗
Tarleton State @ Belmont -2.0 137.0 42% 89–81 ✓
Indiana @ Xavier -0.7 150.8 36% 81–79 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Georgia State +8.9 143.4 78% 62–61 ✗
Colgate @ Duquesne -2.6 149.0 37% 80–85 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.