Virginia Tech
Hokies
61
–
59
FINAL
Neutral
Shriners Children's Charleston Classic
Penn State
Nittany Lions
Betting Lines
| Spread | VT -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | VT -167 PSU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VT +2 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | PSU -0.9 (+2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.9 (-28.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PSU -1.0 (+3.0) | 146.7 (-26.7) | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VT -1.0 (+1.0) | 140.4 (-20.4) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PSU -0.7 (+2.7) | 143.6 (-23.6) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PSU -0.6 (+2.6) | 147.0 (-27.0) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2024 | PSU 86 – 64 VT |
| Dec 9, 2020 | PSU 75 – 55 VT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VT | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 23-14 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 10-10 |
| Home | 13-4 | 13-3 |
| Away | 2-10 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 4-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 7.5 (#50) | 8.5 (#41) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#83) | 1.88 (#33) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.16 (#100) | 2.53 (#39) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#191) | 0.818 (#8) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VT | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.4% | 51.1% |
| 3PT% | 44.6% | 46.2% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 5.5 |
| AST / TO | 2.32 | 2.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 62.0% | 62.8% |
| TOV% | 10.7% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 18.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 12.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 79.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 8.3% | 14.4% |
Game Analysis
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