Betting Lines
| Spread | VT -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | VT -240 PSU +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PSU +20 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | VT -12.2 (-32.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.5 (-28.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VT -9.5 (-29.5) | 151.3 (-21.3) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | VT -10.6 (-30.6) | 150.0 (-20.0) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VT -10.8 (-30.8) | 150.9 (-20.9) | 83% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VT -7.0 (-27.0) | 143.0 (-13.0) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2024 | PSU 86 – 64 VT |
| Nov 18, 2022 | VT 61 – 59 PSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VT | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-7 | 11-14 |
| Conference | 9-4 | 7-12 |
| Home | 10-2 | 7-5 |
| Away | 3-3 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 73.0 |
| Massey | 8.7 (#41) | 3.6 (#89) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.12 (#1) | -0.06 (#157) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 7.12 (#1) | 0.34 (#134) |
| RPI | 0.694 (#24) | 0.549 (#97) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VT | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 34.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.9% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 23.0% |
| DRB% | 76.4% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 30.0% |
Game Analysis
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