Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | UTAH -500 SHSU +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +10 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | UTAH -17.3 (-27.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.6 (-6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -15.1 (-25.1) | 131.5 (-11.5) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -18.2 (-28.2) | 131.9 (-11.9) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -16.0 (-26.0) | 129.5 (-9.5) | 83% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2025 | UTAH 85 – 79 SHSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 14-4 |
| Home | 12-6 | 12-1 |
| Away | 4-7 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.8 | 61.7 |
| Massey | 13.2 (#11) | 4.6 (#87) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.32 (#67) | 2.28 (#20) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.00 (#69) | 2.73 (#31) |
| RPI | 0.688 (#42) | 0.750 (#21) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 32.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 26.1% |
| REB / G | 45.3 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 37.5% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 29.4% | 6.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 36.6% | 43.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 30.7% |
| DRB% | 80.0% | 83.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 10.6% | 32.6% |
Game Analysis
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