Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Over |
| Money | UTAH -1200 SHSU +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +6 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -8.2 (-2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 172.7 (-8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -7.8 (-1.8) | 155.8 (+8.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -11.4 (-5.4) | 156.0 (+8.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -10.4 (-4.4) | 158.1 (+5.9) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2022 | SHSU 65 – 55 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 13-7 |
| Home | 8-9 | 13-1 |
| Away | 1-10 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L6 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.3 | 80.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 76.9 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#181) | -0.8 (#185) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.06 (#105) | -0.49 (#219) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.34 (#116) | -0.65 (#215) |
| RPI | 0.481 (#201) | 0.500 (#182) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 43.0 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 18.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 13.4% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 45.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 60.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 50.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 48.3% |
Game Analysis
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