Betting Lines
| Spread | WYO -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | WYO -900 HOW +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WYO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WYO +7 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | HOW -0.1 (+7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.7 (+0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WYO -1.4 (+5.6) | 146.4 (+2.6) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WYO -3.8 (+3.2) | 147.2 (+1.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WYO -1.4 (+5.6) | 145.3 (+3.7) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WYO -1.0 (+6.0) | 147.4 (+1.6) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WYO | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 11-3 |
| Home | 7-8 | 12-2 |
| Away | 1-8 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 1-6 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 73.3 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#289) | -5.6 (#287) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.32 (#306) | -1.45 (#315) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.77 (#298) | -1.88 (#304) |
| RPI | 0.263 (#330) | 0.347 (#297) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WYO | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.1% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 43.0 | 27.0 |
| OREB / G | 15.5 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 22.2% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 36.9% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 35.3% | 12.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 66.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 80.9% | 62.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 11.3% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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