Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -27.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 163.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +27 | 181 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -22.3 (+4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 172.8 (+8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -19.2 (+7.8) | 160.0 (+21.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -21.9 (+5.1) | 158.6 (+22.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -17.6 (+9.4) | 158.1 (+22.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -21.4 (+5.6) | 160.4 (+20.6) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2025 | ARIZ 93 – 67 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 5-13 |
| Home | 15-2 | 9-5 |
| Away | 6-4 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 7-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.9 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 75.0 |
| Massey | 10.6 (#21) | -2.9 (#235) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.57 (#122) | -0.36 (#204) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.79 (#121) | -0.56 (#210) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#235) | 0.514 (#162) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 63.0% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 42.1% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 47.5 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 70.4% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 24.7% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 55.6% | 29.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.6% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 79.4% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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