Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -33.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +26 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -15.2 (+10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.9 (-1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | ARIZ -8.9 (+17.1) | 150.2 (+9.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -12.1 (+13.9) | 151.0 (+9.0) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2022 | ARIZ 104 – 77 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 36-3 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 11-7 |
| Home | 16-1 | 11-3 |
| Away | 9-1 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 11-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.2 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 77.0 |
| Massey | 5.0 (#57) | 7.7 (#28) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.28 (#23) | 1.98 (#16) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.86 (#22) | 2.54 (#19) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.2% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 40.0% | 25.9% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 42.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 50.8% | 11.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 39.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 63.0% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.6% | 40.9% |
Game Analysis
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