Betting Lines
| Spread | RUTG -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | RUTG -175 TEM +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEM +6 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | RUTG -21.6 (-27.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.1 (+1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RUTG -15.3 (-21.3) | 144.0 (-6.0) | 83% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RUTG -11.6 (-17.6) | 139.9 (-1.9) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RUTG -14.4 (-20.4) | 135.9 (+2.1) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RUTG -16.8 (-22.8) | 135.0 (+3.0) | 87% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 10-8 |
| Home | 14-6 | 9-7 |
| Away | 4-7 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.1 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 13.2 (#10) | -8.3 (#323) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.75 (#37) | -2.68 (#352) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.68 (#34) | -3.48 (#345) |
| RPI | 0.715 (#31) | 0.301 (#318) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 41.7 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.7 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 33.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 39.0% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 29.9% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.4% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
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