Betting Lines
| Spread | KENN -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | KENN -333 SELA +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENN +4 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | SELA -2.7 (+6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.7 (-18.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -2.1 (+6.1) | 152.5 (-12.5) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -2.2 (+6.2) | 150.6 (-10.6) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -2.2 (+6.2) | 150.5 (-10.5) | 42% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENN | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 12-6 |
| Home | 15-1 | 10-4 |
| Away | 10-6 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 76.8 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#159) | 3.7 (#105) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.15 (#296) | 1.70 (#40) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.73 (#294) | 2.41 (#46) |
| RPI | 0.250 (#334) | 0.738 (#23) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENN | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 46.0% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.57 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 9.4% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 18.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.1% | 13.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.2% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 80.0% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 43.6% | 34.5% |
Game Analysis
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