Betting Lines
| Spread | ELON -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | ELON -250 UND +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ELON win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UND +4 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | ELON -11.7 (-15.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.3 (+5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ELON -4.5 (-8.5) | 142.0 (+8.0) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ELON -6.1 (-10.1) | 143.8 (+6.2) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ELON -5.7 (-9.7) | 145.3 (+4.7) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ELON -6.4 (-10.4) | 144.0 (+6.0) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2023 | UND 85 – 68 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ELON | UND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 6-12 |
| Home | 5-9 | 8-8 |
| Away | 3-12 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.8 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -8.2 (#319) | -11.1 (#344) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.76 (#322) | -0.78 (#261) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.59 (#325) | -1.97 (#309) |
| RPI | 0.229 (#346) | 0.450 (#229) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ELON | UND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 23.5% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 26.5 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 6.5 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 19.1% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.5% | 56.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 63.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.3% | 12.2% |
Game Analysis
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