Betting Lines
| Spread | UND -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.0 Over |
| Money | UND -225 ELON +185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UND win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UND +17 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | UND -7.9 (+9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.8 (-12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UND -3.4 (+13.6) | 155.9 (-2.9) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UND -3.3 (+13.7) | 154.7 (-1.7) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UND -1.5 (+15.5) | 154.2 (-1.2) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2022 | UND 77 – 73 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UND | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 6-12 |
| Home | 9-5 | 8-6 |
| Away | 7-8 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 76.2 |
| Massey | -8.8 (#315) | -4.8 (#271) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#208) | -0.28 (#188) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.64 (#224) | -0.67 (#229) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#110) | 0.188 (#250) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UND | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 49.2% |
| 3PT% | 16.0% | 45.2% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.47 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.3% | 57.2% |
| TOV% | 23.1% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 19.4% |
| FT Rate | 14.9% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 61.3% | 56.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 8.7% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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