Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | WASH -333 CBU +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CBU +9 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | WASH -14.0 (-23.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.1 (+12.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WASH -10.8 (-19.8) | 131.0 (+6.0) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WASH -9.6 (-18.6) | 132.0 (+5.0) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WASH -9.8 (-18.8) | 132.9 (+4.1) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WASH -11.8 (-20.8) | 131.6 (+5.4) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 8-10 |
| Home | 12-6 | 13-5 |
| Away | 2-9 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 65.9 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#220) | -7.2 (#306) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.01 (#88) | -2.20 (#342) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.30 (#97) | -4.19 (#356) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#147) | 0.247 (#345) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 37.3% |
| 3PT% | 40.4% | 27.5% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 44.0% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.3% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 76.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 13.2% |
Game Analysis
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