Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | AMCC -600 RGV +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +22 | 172 | Won |
| Massey | AMCC -20.9 (+1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.5 (+32.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -17.2 (+4.8) | 138.8 (+33.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -15.2 (+6.8) | 141.7 (+30.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -14.4 (+7.6) | 140.1 (+31.9) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2026 | RGV 64 – 55 AMCC |
| Jan 3, 2026 | AMCC 63 – 59 RGV |
| Feb 1, 2025 | RGV 83 – 73 AMCC |
| Jan 11, 2025 | AMCC 79 – 74 RGV |
| Dec 16, 2023 | AMCC 86 – 76 RGV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 6-12 |
| Home | 13-2 | 11-6 |
| Away | 7-7 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.1 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 81.2 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#115) | -9.1 (#329) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.33 (#139) | -0.32 (#200) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.58 (#136) | -0.54 (#204) |
| RPI | 0.708 (#34) | 0.500 (#170) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 26.7% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 0.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 43.1% |
| TOV% | 25.9% | 32.7% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 14.3% | 29.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.1% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.3% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 65.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 31.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.