Betting Lines
| Spread | ILST -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | ILST -225 NWST +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ILST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NWST +3 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | ILST -13.0 (-16.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.7 (+6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ILST -8.1 (-11.1) | 129.1 (+7.9) | 73% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ILST -7.1 (-10.1) | 131.5 (+5.5) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ILST -7.1 (-10.1) | 133.0 (+4.0) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ILST -8.7 (-11.7) | 133.1 (+3.9) | 79% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 13, 2022 | ILST 69 – 67 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ILST | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 13-5 |
| Home | 8-7 | 10-3 |
| Away | 3-9 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.5 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#189) | -4.5 (#268) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.01 (#87) | -0.57 (#237) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#125) | -1.65 (#290) |
| RPI | 0.441 (#233) | 0.565 (#118) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ILST | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 37.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 14.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.59 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 44.9% |
| TOV% | 24.1% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 35.8% |
| FT Rate | 40.0% | 7.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.8% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.1% | 24.2% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 61.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.8% | 43.0% |
Game Analysis
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