Betting Lines
| Spread | ILST -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | NWST +175 ILST -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NWST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ILST +2 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | NWST -9.6 (-11.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.7 (+12.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NWST -2.8 (-4.8) | 127.7 (+8.3) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NWST -2.1 (-4.1) | 127.4 (+8.6) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NWST -2.0 (-4.0) | 133.0 (+3.0) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2022 | NWST 70 – 67 ILST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NWST | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 6-14 |
| Home | 10-3 | 8-7 |
| Away | 10-7 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -2.9 (#240) | -0.7 (#201) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#215) | -0.46 (#251) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#229) | -0.73 (#264) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#99) | 0.312 (#217) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NWST | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 28.4% | 36.9% |
| 3PT% | 27.8% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 41.0 |
| OREB / G | 15.0 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 35.8% | 43.7% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 1.5% | 31.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.8% | 42.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 30.1% | 10.6% |
| DRB% | 61.5% | 79.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 39.1% | 13.1% |
Game Analysis
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