Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -24.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | LSU -4000 UNO +1900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +29 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | LSU -15.6 (+13.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.4 (+16.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -13.3 (+15.7) | 139.4 (+13.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -17.1 (+11.9) | 137.9 (+15.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -18.1 (+10.9) | 136.4 (+16.6) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 11, 2025 | LSU 93 – 58 UNO |
| Dec 22, 2024 | LSU 86 – 70 UNO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | UNO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-8 | 6-9 |
| Away | 0-9 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 80.1 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#201) | -7.9 (#315) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.73 (#107) | -0.56 (#235) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.94 (#111) | -0.87 (#245) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#170) | 0.417 (#252) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | UNO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 39.0% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 28.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 38.1% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 20.0% |
| FT Rate | 28.7% | 9.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 39.6% | 59.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.7% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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