Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -19.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Under |
| Money | LSU -6000 UNO +1800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +35 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | LSU -11.7 (+23.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.8 (+4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -8.8 (+26.2) | 145.8 (+5.2) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -13.5 (+21.5) | 140.8 (+10.2) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -12.4 (+22.6) | 140.4 (+10.6) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2024 | LSU 86 – 70 UNO |
| Nov 18, 2022 | LSU 91 – 62 UNO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | UNO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 12-10 |
| Home | 9-8 | 5-6 |
| Away | 3-7 | 9-11 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 77.7 |
| Massey | 7.7 (#51) | 9.7 (#28) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.45 (#131) | 2.25 (#12) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#121) | 3.22 (#10) |
| RPI | 0.625 (#80) | 0.750 (#29) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | UNO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 71.7% | 49.1% |
| 3PT% | 44.4% | 38.9% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 80.4% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 23.3% | 26.0% |
| ORB% | 46.7% | 42.9% |
| FT Rate | 47.8% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 37.9% | 41.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.3% | 12.9% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 28.4% |
Game Analysis
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