Betting Lines
| Spread | LIN -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | LIN +100 LAM +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAM +2 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | LAM -6.0 (+4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.5 (+15.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LAM -2.4 (+0.4) | 130.4 (+13.6) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAM -3.0 (+1.0) | 133.1 (+10.9) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAM -2.8 (+0.8) | 131.1 (+12.9) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIN | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 5-13 |
| Home | 9-4 | 6-9 |
| Away | 2-14 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 75.9 |
| Massey | -10.5 (#341) | -4.6 (#270) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#250) | -1.82 (#326) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.92 (#250) | -2.91 (#334) |
| RPI | 0.464 (#215) | 0.250 (#334) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIN | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 29.7% | 39.1% |
| 3PT% | 20.5% | 23.5% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.40 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 33.8% | 42.2% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 21.2% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.6% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 56.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 13.0% |
Game Analysis
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