Betting Lines
| Spread | MINN -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | MINN -700 CMU +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MINN +8 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | MINN -2.6 (+5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (-10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MINN -5.5 (+2.5) | 136.7 (-8.7) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MINN -3.5 (+4.5) | 138.9 (-10.9) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MINN -3.1 (+4.9) | 139.1 (-11.1) | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MINN -5.5 (+2.5) | 133.8 (-5.8) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2024 | MINN 68 – 65 CMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 2-17 | 5-13 |
| Home | 6-11 | 6-8 |
| Away | 1-9 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.9 | 64.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 74.0 |
| Massey | -9.2 (#330) | -3.0 (#236) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.53 (#228) | -0.39 (#211) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.99 (#254) | -0.70 (#229) |
| RPI | 0.400 (#268) | 0.411 (#258) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 28.9% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 42.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 26.5% |
| ORB% | 37.5% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.7% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 59.2% | 75.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 6.8% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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