Betting Lines
| Spread | MINN -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | MINN -1200 CMU +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MINN +3 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | MINN -1.2 (+1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 117.6 (+15.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MINN -3.2 (-0.2) | 123.7 (+9.3) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MINN -2.5 (+0.5) | 126.3 (+6.7) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MINN -2.7 (+0.3) | 125.1 (+7.9) | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MINN -4.3 (-1.3) | 122.1 (+10.9) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2022 | MINN 68 – 60 CMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-9 | 8-6 |
| Away | 5-5 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#175) | 4.7 (#100) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#160) | 0.80 (#120) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#164) | 1.83 (#95) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#211) | 0.575 (#81) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.9% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 25.1% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.1% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 32.1% |
Game Analysis
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