Betting Lines
| Spread | QUC -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Over |
| Money | GB +300 QUC -360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUC +16 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | QUC -6.0 (-10.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.8 (+18.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUC -2.7 (-13.3) | 131.3 (+14.7) | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUC -6.3 (-9.7) | 133.2 (+12.8) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUC -3.9 (-12.1) | 131.5 (+14.5) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUC -3.7 (-12.3) | 133.5 (+12.5) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GB | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-29 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 7-11 |
| Home | 2-10 | 8-5 |
| Away | 1-17 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 59.3 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 75.5 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#326) | -2.7 (#230) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.91 (#270) | -0.10 (#177) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.28 (#270) | -0.77 (#239) |
| RPI | 0.546 (#134) | 0.604 (#89) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GB | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.3% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 25.7 | 45.0 |
| OREB / G | 4.3 | 15.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.63 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.7% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 28.8% |
| ORB% | 12.7% | 42.9% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.1% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 11.8% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.3% | 8.2% |
Game Analysis
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