You just want to be on the side that's winning. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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42–19 on winners spread MAE 8.3 61 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Mississippi Valley State -2.9 136.7 43% 74–78 ✗
SMU @ South Florida +3.5 151.8 65% 67–71 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Alabama State +0.1 136.1 46% 55–50 ✗
Notre Dame @ Wake Forest +10.3 147.7 84% 58–66 ✓
NJIT @ UAlbany +0.9 143.7 58% 68–82 ✓
Cornell @ Yale +8.4 149.9 81% 58–76 ✓
UTSA @ Florida International +7.2 150.7 79% 95–91 ✗
LSU New Orleans @ Lamar -0.1 144.1 44% 84–79 ✓
Boise State @ San José State -4.7 132.6 36% 68–74 ✗
Utah Valley @ Abilene Christian -2.7 150.5 38% 66–62 ✓
Chattanooga @ Wofford -0.2 151.6 53% 74–86 ✗
Western Michigan @ Akron +14.5 140.3 88% 64–81 ✓
Portland @ Pacific +0.3 160.8 56% 77–81 ✓
Youngstown State @ IU Indianapolis -13.0 157.1 14% 93–79 ✓
Towson @ UNC Wilmington +0.7 135.2 56% 57–53 ✗
Delaware @ Elon -3.1 137.5 37% 70–54 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Long Beach State +11.4 145.4 86% 64–71 ✓
Indiana @ Purdue +8.3 136.0 80% 79–71 ✗
DePaul @ Marquette +13.9 158.1 87% 84–90 ✓
Houston @ East Carolina -14.8 133.8 12% 76–57 ✓
USC @ Utah +0.8 140.6 56% 62–49 ✗
Virginia Tech @ Duke +7.5 140.2 78% 65–81 ✓
UAB @ Western Kentucky -4.9 154.0 31% 72–60 ✓
Tarleton State @ UT Rio Grande Valley -2.6 143.6 46% 95–99 ✗
Kansas City @ South Dakota -0.8 132.6 50% 48–82 ✗
Cleveland State @ Milwaukee -1.0 146.8 49% 72–81 ✗
Eastern Washington @ Idaho State -4.5 141.6 32% 63–71 ✗
LSU @ Ole Miss +4.4 136.1 66% 69–82 ✓
Sacramento State @ Montana +5.2 129.7 77% 72–74 ✓
Idaho @ Weber State +8.5 134.8 83% 53–67 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Gonzaga +4.0 143.0 75% 68–77 ✓
San Diego State @ New Mexico -0.8 147.4 42% 73–71 ✓
Oregon @ Oregon State -8.2 130.1 21% 69–67 ✓
Santa Clara @ San Diego -5.1 157.8 24% 81–63 ✓
San Francisco @ BYU +5.3 147.8 73% 61–87 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ UC San Diego -5.1 138.7 29% 87–71 ✓
UC Irvine @ Hawai'i +1.1 134.2 52% 67–72 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Pepperdine -2.2 155.6 38% 75–67 ✓
Northwestern @ Maryland +5.0 130.3 71% 59–75 ✓
Illinois @ Ohio State +0.9 140.9 60% 60–72 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ St. Bonaventure +3.8 140.5 69% 76–89 ✓
Providence @ Georgetown -9.9 150.8 17% 88–68 ✓
Belmont @ Northern Iowa -2.4 144.1 43% 83–75 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Niagara +4.3 124.2 58% 66–65 ✗
Siena @ Iona +12.7 135.9 86% 60–93 ✓
Fairfield @ Canisius +0.0 137.0 48% 51–64 ✓
Cincinnati @ Memphis +7.2 153.7 78% 73–76 ✓
Southern Illinois @ UIC -6.2 131.8 30% 68–65 ✓
Missouri State @ Indiana State +5.0 138.4 73% 66–62 ✗
Mount St. Mary's @ Rider +8.0 135.4 74% 63–58 ✗
Manhattan @ Quinnipiac +9.3 143.6 83% 72–70 ✗
Wisconsin @ Michigan +5.3 130.9 71% 79–87 ✓
Davidson @ Duquesne +4.1 143.3 70% 71–67 ✗
Wichita State @ Tulane +5.3 153.8 69% 83–76 ✗
Evansville @ Illinois State +8.8 138.3 83% 53–72 ✓
UCLA @ Colorado -4.7 131.6 29% 60–56 ✓
Valparaiso @ Murray State +7.6 144.3 79% 76–77 ✓
Drake @ Bradley +3.5 133.8 63% 61–73 ✓
UCF @ Tulsa -13.9 138.8 14% 68–49 ✓
Washington @ Stanford +3.4 139.9 68% 69–81 ✓
Rutgers @ Penn State +1.4 132.5 47% 59–56 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.