Betting Lines
| Spread | MARQ -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | MARQ -1400 DEP +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MARQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MARQ +6 | 174 | Won |
| Massey | MARQ -17.9 (-11.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.8 (+17.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MARQ -16.2 (-10.2) | 155.8 (+18.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MARQ -13.9 (-7.9) | 158.1 (+15.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MARQ -15.7 (-9.7) | 153.8 (+20.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MARQ -15.4 (-9.4) | 153.8 (+20.2) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | DEP 62 – 51 MARQ |
| Jan 17, 2026 | DEP 80 – 75 MARQ |
| Feb 12, 2025 | MARQ 68 – 58 DEP |
| Jan 15, 2025 | MARQ 85 – 83 DEP |
| Feb 22, 2024 | MARQ 105 – 71 DEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MARQ | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-7 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 3-17 |
| Home | 16-1 | 7-8 |
| Away | 8-4 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.3 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 77.3 |
| Massey | 14.7 (#13) | 0.3 (#163) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.67 (#10) | -0.03 (#170) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.47 (#8) | 0.11 (#164) |
| RPI | 0.595 (#28) | 0.480 (#221) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MARQ | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.4% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.62 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.5% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.9% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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