Free Nelson Mandela! "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
Iona Gaels
93 – 60
FINAL Conference
Siena Saints
Metro Conference · Hynes Athletics Center · February 26, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread IONA -9.5 Home covered
O/U 139.5 Over
Money IONA -500 / SIE +350
Model Predictions
Spread Total IONA win
Actual IONA +33 153 Won
Massey IONA -11.9 (+21.1) — —
Massey Totals — 139.6 (+13.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 86% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 88% ✓
Baseline Plus ML IONA -11.4 (+21.6) 138.3 (+14.7) 86% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ IONA -12.7 (+20.3) 135.9 (+17.1) 86% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML IONA -12.3 (+20.7) 137.7 (+15.3) 86% ✓
Baseline ML IONA -11.1 (+21.9) 137.8 (+15.2) 87% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 6, 2026 SIE 79 – 72 IONA
Jan 3, 2026 IONA 75 – 72 SIE
Jan 25, 2025 IONA 72 – 68 SIE
Jan 5, 2025 IONA 74 – 73 SIE
Mar 9, 2024 IONA 68 – 54 SIE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings IONA SIE
Overall 27-8 17-15
Conference 17-3 11-9
Home 11-1 8-5
Away 8-4 7-8
Neutral 8-3 2-2
Last 5 5-0 2-3
Streak L1 L6
Avg Pts For 76.0 68.6
Avg Pts Against 65.6 67.2
Massey 8.2 (#71) -0.1 (#171)
Bradley-Terry 1.01 (#91) -0.18 (#194)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.22 (#92) -0.07 (#176)
RPI 0.586 (#36) 0.491 (#195)
Shooting & Four Factors IONA SIE
FG% 46.1% 43.8%
3PT% 34.6% 35.7%
REB / G 35.4 34.6
OREB / G 10.6 9.9
AST / TO 1.37 0.95
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.6% 49.8%
TOV% 15.5% 19.6%
ORB% 30.3% 30.3%
FT Rate 20.3% 26.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 45.5% 49.0%
Opp TOV% 20.8% 18.3%
DRB% 69.3% 74.6%
Opp FT Rate 23.5% 22.7%

Game Analysis

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