Betting Lines
| Spread | NOLA -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | LAM +150 NOLA -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NOLA +5 | 163 | Lost |
| Massey | LAM -2.1 (-7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.6 (+15.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAM -0.3 (-5.3) | 146.8 (+16.2) | 50% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NOLA -0.1 (-4.9) | 144.1 (+18.9) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAM -0.9 (-5.9) | 146.8 (+16.2) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LAM -0.4 (-5.4) | 148.0 (+15.0) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | NOLA 77 – 71 LAM |
| Jan 20, 2026 | NOLA 89 – 76 LAM |
| Jan 14, 2025 | NOLA 68 – 62 LAM |
| Mar 11, 2024 | LAM 71 – 57 NOLA |
| Feb 17, 2024 | LAM 94 – 72 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAM | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 7-11 |
| Home | 6-9 | 6-9 |
| Away | 2-12 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 80.1 |
| Massey | -14.8 (#358) | -13.3 (#350) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.30 (#355) | -2.13 (#347) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.14 (#358) | -2.57 (#346) |
| RPI | 0.384 (#357) | 0.408 (#341) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAM | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 38.4% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 24.4% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 29.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.