I'm the all night drug prowling wolf who looks so sick in sun / I'm the white man in the Palais "White Man in Hammersmith Palais" - The Clash
Weber State Wildcats
67 – 53
FINAL Conference
Idaho Vandals
Big Sky Conference · Dee Events Center · February 26, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread WEB -7.5 Home covered
O/U 136.5 Under
Money WEB -400 / IDHO +280
Model Predictions
Spread Total WEB win
Actual WEB +14 120 Won
Massey WEB -7.9 (+6.1) — —
Massey Totals — 135.7 (-15.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 89% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 90% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WEB -6.2 (+7.8) 137.7 (-17.7) 77% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WEB -8.5 (+5.5) 134.8 (-14.8) 83% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WEB -6.4 (+7.6) 136.0 (-16.0) 76% ✓
Baseline ML WEB -6.3 (+7.7) 137.2 (-17.2) 78% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 13, 2026 WEB 83 – 72 IDHO
Jan 18, 2026 IDHO 75 – 67 WEB
Mar 1, 2025 IDHO 81 – 79 WEB
Jan 31, 2025 IDHO 82 – 74 WEB
Feb 16, 2024 WEB 70 – 69 IDHO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WEB IDHO
Overall 18-15 10-22
Conference 12-6 4-14
Home 8-4 6-10
Away 8-8 4-11
Neutral 2-3 0-1
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L1 L5
Avg Pts For 66.3 69.6
Avg Pts Against 67.9 74.4
Massey -2.0 (#208) -6.3 (#282)
Bradley-Terry -0.18 (#190) -1.61 (#320)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.45 (#213) -1.89 (#313)
RPI 0.483 (#211) 0.389 (#354)
Shooting & Four Factors WEB IDHO
FG% 44.3% 46.7%
3PT% 32.4% 31.8%
REB / G 30.9 29.0
OREB / G 6.7 6.2
AST / TO 0.80 0.98
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.5% 52.5%
TOV% 19.7% 16.9%
ORB% 21.5% 20.0%
FT Rate 26.4% 27.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.4% 54.2%
Opp TOV% 19.1% 16.3%
DRB% 77.9% 71.5%
Opp FT Rate 22.6% 23.6%

Game Analysis

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