Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | SJSU +145 BOIS -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJSU +6 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | BOIS -4.8 (+10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.1 (+12.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -3.1 (+9.1) | 134.1 (+7.9) | 41% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -4.7 (+10.7) | 132.6 (+9.4) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -2.7 (+8.7) | 135.3 (+6.7) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -2.8 (+8.8) | 135.4 (+6.6) | 42% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | SJSU 84 – 74 BOIS |
| Feb 21, 2026 | BOIS 84 – 69 SJSU |
| Jan 28, 2026 | BOIS 89 – 58 SJSU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | BOIS 79 – 52 SJSU |
| Dec 28, 2024 | BOIS 73 – 71 SJSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJSU | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 13-5 |
| Home | 12-3 | 14-1 |
| Away | 5-8 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 65.0 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#116) | 11.8 (#28) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#87) | 2.28 (#21) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.31 (#85) | 2.87 (#20) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#101) | 0.609 (#17) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJSU | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.7% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 76.2% | 77.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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