Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | IDST +220 EWU -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IDST +8 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | EWU -4.3 (+12.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.0 (-12.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -4.1 (+12.1) | 141.7 (-7.7) | 36% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -4.5 (+12.5) | 141.6 (-7.6) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -4.2 (+12.2) | 145.1 (-11.1) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -4.4 (+12.4) | 146.1 (-12.1) | 43% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | EWU 88 – 75 IDST |
| Jan 17, 2026 | EWU 84 – 66 IDST |
| Mar 1, 2025 | IDST 78 – 54 EWU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | IDST 78 – 70 EWU |
| Feb 16, 2024 | EWU 88 – 82 IDST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDST | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 16-2 |
| Home | 7-7 | 11-1 |
| Away | 4-12 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 72.0 |
| Massey | -4.7 (#252) | 3.2 (#121) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.40 (#300) | 1.07 (#86) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.27 (#268) | 1.10 (#100) |
| RPI | 0.420 (#325) | 0.551 (#79) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDST | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 48.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 56.3% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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