Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | BRAD -175 DRKE +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRAD +12 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | BRAD -4.2 (+7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.7 (+1.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -3.8 (+8.2) | 135.4 (-1.4) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -3.5 (+8.5) | 133.8 (+0.2) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -3.3 (+8.7) | 135.3 (-1.3) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -3.8 (+8.2) | 136.5 (-2.5) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | BRAD 87 – 73 DRKE |
| Jan 8, 2026 | BRAD 93 – 66 DRKE |
| Mar 9, 2025 | DRKE 63 – 48 BRAD |
| Feb 16, 2025 | BRAD 61 – 59 DRKE |
| Jan 9, 2025 | DRKE 64 – 57 BRAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRAD | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 15-5 |
| Home | 15-1 | 14-1 |
| Away | 8-6 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 7-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.0 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 64.4 |
| Massey | 8.2 (#72) | 7.6 (#80) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.27 (#71) | 1.48 (#65) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.37 (#81) | 1.76 (#64) |
| RPI | 0.583 (#41) | 0.574 (#54) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRAD | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 76.0% | 78.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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