Betting Lines
| Spread | SDAK -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | SDAK -175 KC +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDAK +34 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | SDAK -0.7 (+33.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.1 (-2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDAK -1.4 (+32.6) | 133.8 (-3.8) | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KC -0.8 (+34.8) | 132.6 (-2.6) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDAK -1.6 (+32.4) | 136.5 (-6.5) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDAK -1.0 (+33.0) | 137.8 (-7.8) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | SDAK 82 – 75 KC |
| Jan 16, 2026 | SDAK 99 – 83 KC |
| Feb 14, 2025 | SDAK 79 – 72 KC |
| Jan 3, 2025 | KC 68 – 54 SDAK |
| Feb 23, 2024 | KC 82 – 78 SDAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDAK | KC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-6 | 6-8 |
| Away | 2-11 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 63.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 69.5 |
| Massey | -9.2 (#324) | -6.4 (#283) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#268) | -0.99 (#266) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.42 (#282) | -1.29 (#271) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#284) | 0.454 (#270) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDAK | KC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 38.7% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 27.0% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 43.4% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 36.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 29.7% |
Game Analysis
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