Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | IUIN +850 YSU -1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +14 | 172 | Lost |
| Massey | YSU -17.0 (+3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.2 (+17.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -15.0 (+1.0) | 155.6 (+16.4) | 12% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -13.0 (-1.0) | 157.1 (+14.9) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -15.4 (+1.4) | 156.1 (+15.9) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -14.2 (+0.2) | 157.4 (+14.6) | 12% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | YSU 85 – 76 IUIN |
| Dec 6, 2025 | YSU 78 – 55 IUIN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | IUIN 84 – 79 YSU |
| Jan 1, 2025 | YSU 77 – 61 IUIN |
| Jan 26, 2024 | YSU 78 – 50 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IUIN | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-27 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 15-5 |
| Home | 4-9 | 14-3 |
| Away | 0-15 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 80.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 72.9 |
| Massey | -16.6 (#360) | 4.0 (#109) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.17 (#361) | 0.33 (#143) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.68 (#360) | 0.44 (#140) |
| RPI | 0.356 (#362) | 0.523 (#135) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IUIN | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 48.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 55.2% |
| TOV% | 23.5% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.1% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 17.4% |
Game Analysis
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