Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Over |
| Money | MONT -250 SAC +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +2 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | MONT -7.5 (-5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.6 (+16.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -6.3 (-4.3) | 130.3 (+15.7) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONT -5.2 (-3.2) | 129.7 (+16.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -5.5 (-3.5) | 130.8 (+15.2) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -5.5 (-3.5) | 131.8 (+14.2) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | MONT 81 – 73 SAC |
| Feb 1, 2026 | SAC 86 – 79 MONT |
| Feb 28, 2025 | MONT 60 – 54 SAC |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MONT 87 – 59 SAC |
| Feb 23, 2024 | MONT 68 – 61 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONT | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 10-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-4 | 9-4 |
| Away | 6-9 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.5 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 69.2 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#158) | -3.2 (#221) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.05 (#175) | -0.68 (#242) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.08 (#165) | -0.80 (#238) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#150) | 0.472 (#238) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONT | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.6% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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