Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | MILW +110 CLE -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +9 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | MILW -0.0 (+9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.1 (+6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -0.3 (+9.3) | 145.9 (+7.1) | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -1.0 (+10.0) | 146.8 (+6.2) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MILW -0.1 (+8.9) | 146.2 (+6.8) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -0.0 (+9.0) | 148.4 (+4.6) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | CLE 90 – 88 MILW |
| Dec 21, 2025 | MILW 81 – 71 CLE |
| Feb 8, 2025 | CLE 77 – 60 MILW |
| Dec 6, 2024 | MILW 79 – 67 CLE |
| Feb 15, 2024 | MILW 71 – 68 CLE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 14-6 |
| Home | 15-3 | 13-3 |
| Away | 6-7 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 69.2 |
| Massey | -3.8 (#235) | -0.3 (#174) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.03 (#171) | 0.08 (#161) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#189) | 0.04 (#171) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#128) | 0.515 (#148) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 21.8% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 35.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 65.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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