We're only making plans for Nigel. "Making Plans for Nigel" - XTC
UAlbany Great Danes
82 – 68
FINAL Conference
NJIT Highlanders
America East Conference · Broadview Center · February 26, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread UALB -1.5 Home covered
O/U 140.5 Over
Money UALB -110 / NJIT +110
Model Predictions
Spread Total UALB win
Actual UALB +14 150 Won
Massey UALB -0.8 (+13.2) — —
Massey Totals — 141.6 (+8.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 60% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 57% ✓
Baseline Plus ML NJIT -0.4 (+14.4) 145.9 (+4.1) 46% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UALB -0.9 (+13.1) 143.7 (+6.3) 58% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML UALB -0.9 (+13.1) 144.3 (+5.7) 50% ✗
Baseline ML UALB -0.3 (+13.7) 146.0 (+4.0) 50% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 20, 2026 UALB 81 – 63 NJIT
Jan 29, 2026 NJIT 77 – 68 UALB
Mar 1, 2025 UALB 86 – 59 NJIT
Jan 25, 2025 UALB 68 – 62 NJIT
Feb 16, 2024 UALB 83 – 58 NJIT

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UALB NJIT
Overall 8-23 7-23
Conference 3-13 4-12
Home 5-6 5-8
Away 2-16 2-15
Neutral 1-1 0-0
Last 5 1-4 1-4
Streak L1 L6
Avg Pts For 66.4 66.5
Avg Pts Against 76.2 73.5
Massey -11.8 (#342) -9.0 (#321)
Bradley-Terry -2.25 (#354) -2.04 (#344)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.66 (#351) -2.22 (#328)
RPI 0.399 (#348) 0.401 (#346)
Shooting & Four Factors UALB NJIT
FG% 40.7% 42.6%
3PT% 32.3% 35.0%
REB / G 32.8 33.4
OREB / G 10.0 8.6
AST / TO 0.87 1.05
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.2% 48.3%
TOV% 19.2% 16.1%
ORB% 27.9% 23.9%
FT Rate 22.1% 19.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.1% 52.4%
Opp TOV% 16.7% 15.4%
DRB% 72.5% 71.0%
Opp FT Rate 27.8% 18.3%

Game Analysis

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