Betting Lines
| Spread | SIU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | UIC +210 SIU -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIU +3 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | SIU -6.2 (+3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.1 (+4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIU -5.9 (+2.9) | 132.8 (+0.2) | 27% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIU -6.2 (+3.2) | 131.8 (+1.2) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIU -5.5 (+2.5) | 132.9 (+0.1) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIU -6.0 (+3.0) | 134.1 (-1.1) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | UIC 68 – 66 SIU |
| Jan 8, 2026 | UIC 70 – 57 SIU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | SIU 79 – 67 UIC |
| Jan 25, 2025 | SIU 89 – 85 UIC |
| Mar 8, 2024 | UIC 84 – 82 SIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIC | SIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 14-6 |
| Home | 7-8 | 13-2 |
| Away | 3-11 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 61.7 |
| Massey | -7.2 (#296) | 2.6 (#130) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.05 (#272) | 0.88 (#96) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.37 (#277) | 0.72 (#118) |
| RPI | 0.442 (#295) | 0.550 (#84) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIC | SIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 6.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 22.6% | 23.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.