Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | UNI +138 BEL -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +8 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | BEL -1.6 (-6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.3 (+10.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -2.7 (-5.3) | 148.1 (+9.9) | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -2.4 (-5.6) | 144.1 (+13.9) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -2.7 (-5.3) | 147.1 (+10.9) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -2.3 (-5.7) | 148.9 (+9.1) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | BEL 91 – 86 UNI |
| Jan 8, 2026 | BEL 78 – 65 UNI |
| Feb 20, 2025 | UNI 82 – 75 BEL |
| Jan 2, 2025 | UNI 76 – 70 BEL |
| Mar 8, 2024 | UNI 67 – 62 BEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNI | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 14-6 |
| Home | 8-8 | 12-2 |
| Away | 4-7 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#215) | 2.8 (#127) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.44 (#222) | 0.70 (#116) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.53 (#221) | 0.56 (#125) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#215) | 0.559 (#71) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNI | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 39.2% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 55.2% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 22.9% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 77.8% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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