Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | ACU +120 UVU -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ACU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +4 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | UVU -4.3 (+0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.1 (-21.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -3.3 (-0.7) | 152.1 (-24.1) | 35% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -2.7 (-1.3) | 150.5 (-22.5) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -4.0 (-0.0) | 150.1 (-22.1) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -3.9 (-0.1) | 150.7 (-22.7) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UVU 74 – 67 ACU |
| Feb 6, 2026 | UVU 68 – 55 ACU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | ACU 85 – 68 UVU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | UVU 73 – 60 ACU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UVU 64 – 53 ACU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ACU | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-17 | 28-9 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 15-3 |
| Home | 10-5 | 14-1 |
| Away | 5-8 | 12-5 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 69.6 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#204) | 6.2 (#87) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.33 (#208) | 1.55 (#57) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#195) | 1.91 (#59) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#222) | 0.570 (#56) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ACU | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 29.7 | 39.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.7% | 44.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.6% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.7% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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