Betting Lines
| Spread | PORT -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | PAC +130 PORT -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PAC +4 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | PAC -1.8 (+2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.0 (-5.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PAC -1.0 (+3.0) | 161.4 (-3.4) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PAC -0.3 (+3.7) | 160.8 (-2.8) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PAC -1.8 (+2.2) | 162.2 (-4.2) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PAC -1.2 (+2.8) | 163.1 (-5.1) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | PAC 74 – 51 PORT |
| Jan 9, 2026 | PORT 90 – 89 PAC |
| Feb 23, 2025 | PORT 81 – 73 PAC |
| Jan 17, 2025 | PORT 84 – 81 PAC |
| Feb 2, 2024 | PORT 65 – 60 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PAC | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 5-11 |
| Home | 7-10 | 10-6 |
| Away | 7-7 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 76.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.4 | 79.1 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#200) | 0.3 (#164) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#205) | -0.10 (#181) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#197) | 0.16 (#161) |
| RPI | 0.465 (#251) | 0.478 (#225) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PAC | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 38.8% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 23.5% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 32.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 18.1% |
Game Analysis
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