Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | WOF -138 UTC +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +12 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | WOF -0.9 (+11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.5 (+8.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -0.3 (+11.7) | 152.1 (+7.9) | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTC -0.2 (+12.2) | 151.6 (+8.4) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -0.8 (+11.2) | 151.8 (+8.2) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -0.1 (+11.9) | 154.6 (+5.4) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | WOF 81 – 55 UTC |
| Jan 14, 2026 | UTC 76 – 67 WOF |
| Feb 6, 2025 | UTC 79 – 70 WOF |
| Jan 16, 2025 | UTC 83 – 81 WOF |
| Mar 9, 2024 | UTC 75 – 57 WOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WOF | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-4 | 9-7 |
| Away | 4-11 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 74.1 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#224) | -0.8 (#186) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.76 (#246) | -0.60 (#235) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.03 (#251) | -0.61 (#226) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#246) | 0.491 (#193) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WOF | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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